BallotCast

NJ Gubernatorial Forecast

Sherrill (D) has a % chance of victory.

Ciattarelli (R) has a % chance of victory.

Race Estimate

Sherrill (D) is expected to receive % of the vote.

Ciattarelli (R) is expected to receive % of the vote.

State of the Race

While New Jersey’s 2024 presidential election result was much closer than many expected, we still believe that Mikie Sherrill and the Democrats have a fairly high chance of winning the state’s governorship this year.